Photo of Cebu City Hall by Paolobon140 on Wikimedia Commons

Cebu sees uptick in cases as its primary driver Cebu City averages 78 new cases a day

The DOH posts more than 2,000 new Covid cases while OCTA reports serious increase of cases in Cebu
BENJAMIN CO, MD | Jan 30 2021

[All local data are information downloaded from the Data Drop of the Department of Health. The author does not own any of the information except the analysis of all data. Global data are referenced properly from, (European CDC), World Health Organization (, and the New York Times. Where appropriate, additional information may be culled from other references or health agencies.]


With 2,109 new cases announced by the DOH today, the number of active cases is up at 7.1 percent. With the rising number of cases, the number of active cases will remain higher week after week and will eventually be a cause for concern in both the national and local government units.

There were 71 new deaths reported today, pushing up the case fatality rate an extra notch at 2.04 percent.

The DoH, it appears, no longer reports the top five areas with most cases. For reference on today’s data, kindly refer to the data drop tomorrow.

  • The OCTA Research Group report updated January 30, 2021 notes the spike in cases in Cebu, particularly in Cebu City.

The reproduction number Ro in Cebu increased past 1.0 on December 29, 2020 and is currently at 1.62 based on a 7-day moving average. Cebu City is the primary driver of this upward trend as it averaged 78 new Covid-19 cases per day over the past week. The positivity rate in Cebu has increased to 6 percent based on 2.400 tests per day.

While hospital bed occupancy, at less than 30 percent, remained below the 70 percent critical threshold set by the Department of Health, the rapid increase in new Covid-19 cases, if not curbed, could lead to more than 150 new cases per day in Cebu City in two weeks.

OCTA Research Group Report, January 30, 2021

The Philippines (January 29, 2021)

  • The Health Agency did not provide granular data in yesterday’s daily 4PM announcement. The 1,849 new cases yesterday are broken down as follows:
    • Top Region: NCR – 358 (19.4 percent of total cases)
    • Outside of NCR with triple digit numbers: CALABARZON, Davao Region, Central Visayas, Western Visayas, and Central Luzon. These regions accounted for 48 percent of the total cases yesterday.
    • Top Provinces: Cebu, Davao del Sur and Iloilo
    • Top Cities: Davao City, Cebu City, and City of Pasig. 
  • There were 6 OFWs (ROFs) in yesterday’s report.
  • Eight of 17 cities in NCR were in the top twenty cities/municipalities with most cases for the day. Quezon City and the City of Manila reported 68 new cases apiece.

 January 29, 2021 (The World)

  • With 595,430 new cases and 14,790 new deaths globally, the total number of coronavirus cases is now over 102.7 million.
  • The global case fatality rate is up at 2.16 percent.
  • While the total new cases in the United States is down by 33 percent, the country continues to lead in new cases and new deaths globally.