[All local data are information downloaded from the Data Drop of the Department of Health. The author does not own any of the information except the analysis of all data. Global data are referenced properly from Worldometers.info, Ourworldindata.org (European CDC), World Health Organization (who.int), and the New York Times. Where appropriate, additional information may be culled from other references or health agencies.]
UPDATED JANUARY 12, 2021
While the number of new cases announced by DOH today are lower—1,524 —the number of new deaths is quite staggering at 139, surpassing the last highest recorded on October 12, 2020.
Davao City continues to lead in the daily haul while Quezon City is second. Cebu City makes its first appearance in the top five today.
The bad news? Aside from the rising positivity rates, there’s the higher national Rt at 1.22.
The Philippines (January 11, 2021)
- Of 2,052 cases, 24 percent were from the National Capital Region.
- 14 regions reported more than 50 new cases per region, 7 of which reported triple digits. Those with triple-digit cases were: NCR, CALABARZON, Davao Region, Eastern Visayas, Ilocos Region, Central Luzon, and Northern Mindanao.
- On a provincial level, two provinces tallied triple digits – Davao del Sur and Leyte.
- 11 of 17 cities in Mega Manila were among the top 20 cities/municipalities with most coronavirus cases yesterday. The top 5 cities in NCR were Quezon City, City of Manila, Makati, Valenzuela, and Pasig.
The World (January 11, 2021)
- With 625,813 new cases and 10,307 new deaths announced, the world count for coronavirus is now at 91.3 million and over 1.95 million deaths. With still 20 days to go in January, the 100,000,000 mark may be breached before the end of the month.
- While the US had fewer cases and deaths reported, the country still led in the total count for cases and deaths globally.
- Following the UK as the first to roll out the immunization efforts against COVID-19 in the world, 50 countries are now rolling out their vaccine programs with various vaccines ranging from Sinopharm to Pfizer BioNTech.
The Philippine COVID-19 Report from the OCTA Research Team (released January 12, 2021)
The Reproduction Ro in NCR has increased to 1.17 on January 6. As of January 11, it was at 1.21 (1.16-1.21) in the NCR and 1.22 for the Philippines.
There is a clear upward trend now, shown in the yellow line, and if this upward trend continues, the local governments will need to implement measures to reverse this direction before the pandemic gets out of hand.
The positivity rate in NCR over the past week remained at 4 percent, below the 5 percent threshold of the World Health Organization.
Philippine Covid-19 Report by OCTA RESEARCH TEAM, January 12, 2021
In the National Capital Region, which has remained the epicenter in the country, it is Marikina that saw an upward trend along with Quezon City which has the most new cases daily.
The LGU with the highest 2-week attack rate was Makati at 4.05 new COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population. The two week attack rate for the entire NCR was 2.31/100,000. Almost every LGU had a decline in new COVID19 cases during the holidays. The end of the holidays marked the time when testing centers resumed operations.
A LGU of concern is Marikina which not only increased by 127 percent compared to the previous week, the case reports also increased compared to two weeks ago. Marikina also had the highest positivity rate among NCR LGUs at 11 percent.
Caloocan remained as a low risk area with 1.04/100,000 attack rate.
Outside of the NCR, many provinces were seeing unprecedented higher numbers.
The provinces of concern include those highlighted in the chart below: Davao del Sur (including Davao City), Isabela, Quezon, Misamis Oriental, Pangasinan, Agusan del Sur, and Negros Oriental.
The following provinces had greater than 10 percent positivity rate: Benguet, Leyte and Davao del Norte.
The following provinces had less than 10 percent positivity rate but was seeing increase in new cases: Pampanga, Cebu (including Cebu City) and Zamboanga del Sur.