Can Otso Diretso bets pull off surprise win?

Rose Carmelle Lacuata, ABS-CBN News

Posted at Apr 29 2019 10:59 PM

MANILA - It is still possible for Otso Diretso senatorial bets to pull off a surprise win in the upcoming elections, even if most of them lag behind in pre-election surveys, according to a political strategist.

Political strategist Aurelio German said it is possible that survey respondents do not tell the truth out of fear for their safety.

"Ang survey, may chance 'yan na hindi makatotohanan. 'Yung mga sinasabi nila, ng mga sagot nila, maraming mga factors 'yan. Maaring natatakot magsabi ng katotohanan," he told DZMM Teleradyo on Monday.

(In surveys, there is a chance that they don't tell the truth. Their answers are affected by different factors. They may be scared to tell the truth.)

"Sa atmosphere ng politika ngayon, hindi natin alam, baka ma-riding-in-tandem ako kapag sumagot ako ng mali eh... May fear factor. Ang mga tinatanong sa survey, siyempre they want to be sure of their safety," German added.

(The political atmosphere nowadays, we don't know, you might be hit by riding-in-tandem criminals if you give the wrong answer... There is a fear factor. The survey respondents, of course they want to be sure of their safety.)

His fearless forecast? At least 5 Otso Diretso bets will make it to the "Magic 12."

German also said even those who are included in the "Magic 12" in preelection surveys can never be confident, as the results may still change.

"You can never be kampante... One to six, puwede ka nang maging kampante, pero 7 to 12, mahirap pa rin eh. You can never tell," he said.

(You can never be confident. From one to six, you can be confident, but from 7 to 12, it's still difficult. You can never tell.)

Among the Otso Diretso bets, only Sen. Bam Aquino and former Interior Secretary Mar Roxas have a higher chance of making it to the top 12, based on voters' preferences.

Roxas placed 11th to 17th with a 31.3-percent voter support in the March 23-27 survey, down from his 8th to 12th ranking in Pulse Asia's February survey. 

Aquino, on the other hand, is at the 11th to 16th spots, together with Hugpong ng Pagbabago's Sen. Koko Pimentel and former senator Serge Osmeña, an independent candidate. 

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