MANILA - The dry season will start a month earlier this year as a weak El Niño continues to prevail in the country, a climate expert from state weather bureau PAGASA said Thursday.
State forecasters will announce the official start of summer anytime, Dr. Analiza Solis, PAGASA Climate Monitoring chief, said in an interview on DZMM.
The 2018 dry season started in the second week of April, she said.
There is an 80 percent probability that the weak El Niño, which led to droughts in at least 16 provinces, will persist until June, she said.
"Kung ikukumpara natin sa lagnat, ito ay sinat lang. Pag moderate [El Niño] ay trangkaso, kung strong ay kombulsyon na," she said.
Other studies show that droughts in the Philippines may last until July or August, but the probability is only at 60 percent, she said.
It might be offset by the rainy season that is expected to begin during those months, she said.