A law granting wider self-rule to Muslims in the south may solve the 5-decade Moro insurgency there or spawn a new alliance of armed groups, communist rebels and Christian leaders, a security analyst said Monday.
Around 2.5 million voters will decide Monday on whether or not to ratify the Bangsamoro Organic Law, which will expand the autonomous Muslim region, a key component of a 2014 deal between the government and the Moro Islamic Liberation Front.
The deal solves the MILF insurgency, but not that of communist rebels and armed groups like the Moro National Liberation Front, Ansar Khalifa Philippines, Abu Sayyaf and remnants of the Maute group, said analyst Rommel Banlaoi.
Some Christian residents have also campaigned against BOL, noted Banlaoi, who chairs the Philippine Institute for Peace, Violence and Terrorism Research.
"Ang kinakatakot ko dyan, 'pag hindi naging satisfied iyung Christian communities sa outcome ng plebiscite, baka magkaroon ng alyansa iyan sa communist insurgency at sa iba pang mga armed groups sa area na iyan," he told radio DZMM.
The government, he said, should convince these groups to respect the outcome of the plebiscite and address the "multi-faceted" problems plaguing Mindanao.
DZMM, 10 January 2010