Grace Poe, Team PNoy still leading in Senate race
MANILA (UPDATED) - Around 10 million votes cast in the May 13 elections remain untransmitted to the Commission on Elections (Comelec), the National Citizens' Movement for Free Elections (Namfrel) said Wednesday.
The poll watchdog based its estimate on the transmission of Precinct Count Optical Scan (PCOS) machines to the Comelec transparency server.
Each PCOS machine transmits to 3 servers -- the transparency, central, and a canvassing server that aggregates election returns through a consolidation and canvassing system that mimics the ladderized system of canvassing votes under the Omnibus Election Code.
"Based on data received from Comelec's transparency server, only 69.18% of election returns (ERs) has been received 40 hours after the close of polls on Monday compared to 80% after 12 hours in 2010," Namfrel said in a statement.
"The remaining 30% represents 24,082 ERs from various provinces. At a 65% turnout of voters, Namfrel estimates the remaining transmission to represent at least 10 million votes, a significant number that can possibly affect the standings of the senatorial and party-list candidates," it added.
Rankings in Namfrel's current parallel canvassing are similar to data from the Comelec's transparency server accessed by media.
The Comelec's central server has received only 75% of the expected PCOS transmissions.
Comelec's plan to proclaim the senatorial winners on Wednesday hit a snag because of untransmitted results.
Comelec announced that, as of 11 a.m. Wednesday, it has only received 14 certificates of canvass (COCs) out of 302 expected COCs from provinces, cities, local absentee votes, and overseas absentee votes.
The COC is the official basis for proclaiming winners for local and national posts.
Comelec Chairman Sixto Brillantes Jr. announced Wednesday afternoon that the poll body will defer the proclamation due to the slow transmission of results.
He attributed the postponement and the delays to many close contests at the local level, which prevented the generation of electronic certficates of canvass because they require a 100% transmission of precinct election results.
Brillantes said aside from the ladderized system and the closeness of local results, there are technical issues that he'd rather not get into. Pressed for more details, Brillantes concedes signal problems have had an impact. "Weak signal, nakaka-apekto iyon."
The transmission contract for the midterm election was bagged by Smartmatic for P486.5 million and MTD Modem for P154.576 million. The contract includes the lease of 5,000 BGANs or Broadband Global Access Network units.
Smartmatic president Cesar Flores in a statement said, "It's too early to have a breakdown. As in 2010, it's the BEI's discretion to transmit to central and KBP after successfully transmitting to municipal. Municipal has always had more than central and KBP. It was the same in 2010. After proclamations, Comelec can start a process of contingency transmission to central and KBP so they also catch up."
Flores maintained this was not a massive transmission failure. "It's exactly the same levels of 2010. The municipal transmission is the one that counts. How else have municiplaities proclaimed their mayors and other officials?"
Brillantes they are considering speeding up the process by manually bringing in the results through discs from the provinces.
Former election commissioner Gus Lagman, however, expressed concerns at plans to manually bring election results.
"Siyempre, may security risk iyan. Dali-daling maplitan iyun compared to ballot boxes."
Brillantes, however, maintained that even with manual transmission, the data will be safe.
Brillantes pointed out that the delay isn't worse than in 2010.
Meantime President Benigno Aquino's team in the senatorial race is still headed for a majority victory in the 2013 midterm elections, based on partial and unofficial results from the Comelec's transparency server.
As of 10:35 p.m. Wednesday, with around 28.59 million votes and 69% of electoral results processed, 9 from Team PNoy and 3 from the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) are in the top 12.
1POE, GRACE 14728842
2LEGARDA, LOREN 13,482,170
3CAYETANO, ALAN PETER 12,745,578
4ESCUDERO, CHIZ 12735497
5BINAY, NANCY 12,023,406
6ANGARA, EDGARDO 11,583,486
7AQUINO, BENIGNO BAM 11,169,019
8PIMENTEL, KOKO 10679806
9TRILLANES, ANTONIO IV 10,259,707
10VILLAR, CYNTHIA 9,996,856
11EJERCITO ESTRADA, JV 9,918,276
13GORDON, DICK 9,129,307
14ZUBIRI, MIGZ 8,563,925
15ENRILE, JUAN PONCE JR.8,277,776
16MAGSAYSAY, RAMON JR. 8,254,206
17HONTIVEROS, RISA 8,012,686
18HAGEDORN, ED 6171446
19VILLANUEVA, BRO.EDDIE 5,039,951
20MADRIGAL, JAMBY 4,884,166
21MAGSAYSAY, MITOS 4,050,385
22CASIÑO, TEDDY 3,146,288
23MACEDA, MANONG ERNIE 2,473,493
24COJUANGCO, TINGTING 2,169,115
25DELOS REYES, JC 892,197
26ALCANTARA, SAMSON 871,483
27BELGICA, GRECO 812,314
28PENSON, RICARDO 745796
29DAVID, LITO 743,871
31LLASOS, MARWIL 510,222
32SEÑERES, CHRISTIAN 506,737
33FALCONE, BAL 469,218
Pollster Social Weather Stations (SWS), based on its last pre-election survey held May 2-3 or just over a week ago, said that, "Given the statistical ties, the most probable final Team PNoy-UNA score is 9-3, with twelfth place going to either Honasan or Enrile who are both from UNA."
In the May 10-11 Pulse Asia pre-election survey, it was 9 Team PNoy and 3 UNA or 10 Team PNoy and 2 UNA, with Honasan, Enrile and Jun Magsaysay of the LP fighting for the 12th and last slot.
The SWS survey of 2,400 respondents and the Pulse Asia survey of 1,800 respondents both have a margin of error of plus/minus 2%.
A total of 18,054 positions were at stake in the mid-term elections, seen as a referendum of President Aquino's performance after 3 years in office.
A total of 44,448 candidates ran for national and local posts, which include 234 seats in the House of Representatives, 80 governors and vice-governors, 1,634 mayors and vice-mayors, plus 26 posts in the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM).
More than 100 party-list groups ran to fill 58 seats in the lower House.
A strong majority victory for President Aquino in the Senate race would allow him to take control of the Senate, which is currently led by Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile, one of the stalwarts of UNA.