Canada has a total of 448,841 cases so far and 13,251 deaths. Photo by Eugene Aikimov on Unsplash
Culture

Canada overtakes the PH in world rankings of Covid cases, moving up from number 28 to 27

Meanwhile, Turkey has a lesson to teach us about factual data and complacency.  
BENJAMIN CO, MD | Dec 12 2020

Disclosure: All data provided are from the Department of Health’s various information sites including their data drop. Where appropriate, other graphs, illustrations, tables and data are appropriately referenced. 


December 12, 2020 (updated)

The Health Agency reports 1,301 newly announced cases today with four provinces and one city in the top five. Davao del Norte tops the leader board with 96 new cases, while Quezon City continues to be among the top five contributors to the daily haul. 

DoH also reports 35 new deaths. 

While it seems the numbers are within the 1,500 7-day average, note that the Philippines has been fixed on this 7-day average for the past month. This pushes up the Rt (reproduction number) to 1.0. Which means that for every new case, there is a potential for another individual being infected. This is not a good sign because the objective is to decrease the numbers during the holidays. 

The data shows that the surge potential is real and surreal.

Yesterday’s data breakdown

THE PHILIPPINES

  • With 1,504 new cases yesterday, Mega Manila continues to dominate the total haul and contributed 20 percent of the cases. 
  • Quezon City and the City of Manila were responsible for more than half the cases in Mega Manila.
  • Aside from NCR, four other regions reported triple digits: CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Davao Region and Cagayan Valley.
  • Davao del Sur topped the provinces with the most cases yesterday with 136 new cases reported. 
  • Three provinces in the top ten were from CALABARZON alone: Rizal, Laguna and Cavite.
  • Nine of 17 cities from Mega Manila were among the top 20 cities/municipalities with most cases. 
  • Davao City was on top with 122 cases yesterday and the only city that reported triple digits among the top 20 cities/municipalities. 
  • Two towns in Isabela contributed to the high cases reported in the Cagayan region – the City of Santiago and the municipality of San Mariano.

THE WORLD

The world is now close to 71.5 million confirmed cases. The previous day saw the biggest leap in number of cases with more than 1.5 million cases in a single day because of the adjustment of cases in Turkey. 

The world now has more than 1,600,000 deaths due to coronavirus.

The United States continues to lead globally in both new cases and new deaths. 

With the correction in the cases for Turkey, there are now 15 countries with cases past the million mark, as Turkey moves up from 16th place to 8th spot.

  • Global case fatality rate: 2.24 percent. 
  • Six European nations were among the top ten contributors to the pool of new cases yesterday – Turkey, Germany, UK, Italy, Ukraine and France. 

Feature Story

THE GLOBAL SHIFT

With Turkey now at more than 1,780,000 cases, the numbers seem to be skyrocketing.

For the first time since July, Health Minister Fahrettin Koca announced the daily number of actual coronavirus cases – previously it only released figures on symptomatic patients. 

The official numbers place Turkey’s second wave of coronavirus among the most serious in the world, much worse than its first peak in the spring. 

It has left President Recep Tayyip Erodogan, in his own words, “no choice but to minimize human mobility to reduce the negative impact of the pandemic.”

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/12/3/turkeys-covid-19-explosion-brings-harsh-restrictions

While nightly curfew on weekdays, mandatory stay-at-home orders covering the entire weekend, limiting number of crowds for weddings and funerals to 30 people, and banning the use of public transport for those over 65 years old and those less than 20 years old are in effect, many workplaces and communal prayer houses are still open as Erdogan is “taking steps carefully not to turn the health crisis into a full-blown economic and social crisis”. 

And that is why truthful data is vital and important because people become complacent when they see numbers that are not factual, and not realistic of what is actually happening on the ground during the pandemic. 

Elsewhere in the world, Canada, with a population of more than 37,000,000 people now slips past the Philippines for the 27th rank for most number of coronavirus cases in the world.

The brutal winter season compounded by the upcoming holidays will definitely see a significant rise in coronavirus cases as we cross the first year of this pandemic.