Disclosure: All data provided are from the Department of Health’s various information sites including their data drop. Where appropriate, other graphs, illustrations, tables and data are appropriately referenced.
October 12, 2020 (updated)
Over the past months, NCR has been the major contributor in coronavirus cases in the country with 60-70 percent of the daily cases coming from Mega Manila.
The past week has seen a gradual shift in the tide. The total cases from NCR is now between 30-40 percent. The other regions now own 60-70 percent of the total cases.
This shift is worrisome because, for one, the total number of daily cases has not declined significantly. In short, we’re still seeing 2,500-3,500 cases daily. With the number shifting to poorer regions where critical care is more scarce, will we see a rise in fatalities later on?
While the lower cases in NCR are a welcome news, the effort should be a consolidated one – we need to lower the number of cases in the country and not just one community at a time. Shifting the tide and the burden to the communities outside of the epicenter is NOT addressing and controlling the pandemic.
Yesterday’s data breakdown
- All five provinces in the CALABARZON region remained in the top ten.
- Bulacan and Zambales hauled in the numbers for Central Luzon
- Agusan del Norte brought in the numbers for CARAGA
- Only 8 (of the 17) cities in the NCR were in the top 20 cities/municipalities.
- Cities outside of the NCR that dominated the top 20 list were:
- Luzon: Olongapo City (Zambales), Antipolo (Rizal), Bacoor (Cavite), Batangas City (Batangas), Baguio (Benguet) and Ilagan City (Isabela)
- Visayas: Iloilo City (Iloilo), Bacolod City and City of Kabankalan (Negros Occidental)
- Mindanao: Davao City (Davao del Sur), Butuan (Agusan del Norte), and Zamboanga City (Zamboanga del Sur)
- Global case fatality rate: 2.86 percent
- The global 7-day average of cases is around 325,000 cases/day (or approximately 1,000,000 cases almost every 3 days).
- India continued to lead in both cases and deaths in the world.
- Notice that Brazil was not in the top ten. It reported only 3,139 cases yesterday.
- Five European nations are back in the top ten – France, UK, Belgium, Netherlands and Italy.
Olongapo City, Zambales
This first-class highly urbanized city located in the province of Zambales but governed independently from the province has a population of around 250,000 people in an area of approximately 180 sq km (density of 720/sq km).
Unlike the rest of the Philippines that gained independence from the United States after World War II, Olongapo was governed as part of the US Naval reserve. This is where the Subic Bay Naval Base is located. In 1959, Olongapo City was the last Philippine territory surrendered back to the Philippines.
The city is well known for its innovative methods of urban management, particularly when it came to addressing crime and sanitation. As an independent city in the province of Zambales, only the city government officials are voted by the residents of the city (much like the cities in NCR). The provincial government has no jurisdiction over local transactions in the city.
Olongapo City reported its first COVID case on March 28 (swabbed March 17). It saw only a sprinkling of cases in March (2), April (6), May (2) and June (2). In July, 13 cases were reported. That increase in number of cases was to herald the onslaught of 172 cases for August and 305 cases reported in September. From October 1-11, Olongapo City has recorded 157 cases already.
There are 4 reported deaths in the city.