Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries 2
An aerial view of Manila. The country tallies a total of 64,207 active COVID cases. Photo from Wikimedia Commons
Culture

Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries

Our resident COVID tracker acknowledges the day’s good news. But, he points out, “We’re still not testing enough.” 
BENJAMIN CO MD | Sep 02 2020

[Disclaimer: Whatever is written here is based on information released by the Department of Health at the time of publication. Whatever changes the DoH makes in their data later on…well that’s a different story in itself and as they say in their disclaimer: “the total cases reported may be subject to change as these numbers undergo constant cleaning and validation.”]

Less newly announced cases, less deaths and more recoveries. That’s better news today. And we deserve a few of these once in awhile. The Health Agency seems to be catching up with its backlog and hopefully sustains it.

There are 2,128 newly announced cases today. Eighty-seven (87) percent of these are recent data (August 20-September 2, 2020). There are 27 reported deaths and 609 recoveries.

Among the other provinces rounding up the top five, three were from the Visayas: Cebu, Iloilo and Negros Occidental.

There were 42 cases removed from the total case count.

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The Health Agency divides its report either as recent (last 14 days) or as “backlogs”.

Of the 2,218 cases today, 1,932 (87 percent) are recent. Top five regions aside from NCR are: Region IVA with 336 cases, Region VI with 182, Region VII with 122 and Region III with 102 cases. Note that among recent cases, NCR reported only 1,016 cases today.

“Of the 2,218 cases reported today, 1,591 (72 percent) do not have information on date of onset of illness, 221 do not have information on date of specimen collection, while 206 do not have information on both.” (Yet the Department of Health uses the Date of Onset of Illness in their reporting for some inexplicable reason.)

“In cases where date of onset of illness is missing, the date of specimen collection (minus 3 days) was used as proxy. In cases where both date of onset of illness and date of specimen collection are missing, the report date (minus 9 days) were used as proxy.”

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With 609 recoveries, the recovery rate remains at 70 percent. And with 27 deaths, the case fatality rate stays at 1.6 percent as well.

The NCR continues to report the highest deaths with 10 announced today. This followed by Region IVA with 8 and Region VI with 4.

Of the 27 deaths, 25 are recent (reported in August), while the other two occurred in May and June.

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There are now 114 testing facilities (86 RT-PCR and 28 GeneXpert) in the country. Data for September 1 reported today shows close to 2.5 million individuals tested. Our cumulative positivity rate is at 10.6 percent, which is quite far off from the 5 percent and below that is desired. We’re still not testing enough.

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THE DATA YESTERDAY

Testing capacity

As of August 31, 2020, a total of 2,470,577 individuals (2.3 percent of the population) have been tested.

There were 2,949 positives from 28,121 individuals tested – bringing the daily positive rate to 10.5 percent, lower (for the first time) than the cumulative positivity rate of 10.6 percent.

Of the 2,949 positives that day, 70 percent (2,074) were from 36 out of 41 testing centers in NCR.

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The summary

As of yesterday, the Philippines had 224,264 confirmed cases with NCR owning 56.1 percent of the total cases in the country.

NCR had 1,824 newly announced cases (not necessarily all recent) making up 52 percent of the total cases yesterday.

Regions IVA, III, VI and VII rounded up the top five.

For August 31, 2020, NCR had 1,900 new confirmed cases with Regions IVA, III, VIII and VI rounding up the top regions.

All the other remaining regions had less than 50 cases with three regions – IVB, BARMM, and CARAGA – reporting single digits.

There were 106 newly announced cases among repatriates.

Sixteen people had no tagged location at regional level.

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The unknowns

There were 31 (0.9 percent) untagged locations yesterday. Sixteen were on a regional level. The remaining 15 were on a municipality/city level, with NCR having 7 ‘unknowns’.

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The known

NCR had 1,824 newly announced cases.

Ten cities had triple digits with Quezon City reporting the highest number at 206. This was followed by: Taguig, Manila, Valenzuela, Makati, Las Piñas, Caloocan, Parañaque, Pasig, and Navotas.

Pasay, Malabon, Mandaluyong and Muntinlupa had more than 50 cases.

San Juan, Pateros and Marikina had less than 50 cases.

There were 7 individuals with no tagged location at this level.

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The following provinces had the highest cases for their respective region: Laguna for Region IVA, Bulacan for Region III, Iloilo for Region VI, and Cebu for Region VII.

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Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries 12

Region IVA reported 723 cases yesterday with the provinces of Laguna, Cavite, Rizal and Batangas reporting triple digits.

Nineteen cities/municipalities reported triple digits with the city of Antipolo and Calamba reporting more than 50 cases.

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Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries 14

Bulacan, Bataan, and Pampanga reported the highest number of cases on a provincial level.

The cities/municipalities of Mariveles, Balanga, San Jose del Monte, Angeles and Marilao reported double digits.

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Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries 16

Western Visayas was in fourth, with the provinces of Iloilo and Negros Occidental having the most number of cases.

The city of Iloilo tops the list among the cities/municipalities in the region with 54 of the 164 cases (33 percent) followed by Bacolod City and Silay with double digits.

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Back in fifth is Central Visayas with the province of Cebu reporting 91 cases.

On a city/municipality level, Mandaue had 27 cases followed by Cebu City with 19.

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As of yesterday, the average new cases in the Philippines was around 3,800 per day. In spite of the lower number of deaths yesterday, the 7-day average was still close to 80 deaths/day.

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Philippines logs in less COVID deaths and more recoveries 20

THE WORLD

The global case fatality rate is at 3.32 percent and recoveries at 70.2 percent. As the number of confirmed cases increase, the fatality and recovery rates slow down. There are also lesser deaths being reported globally. [Recovery rates are not very reliable indicators because they are subjective—based on the country’s definition of how and when they consider patients ‘recovered’.]

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https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ 

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The United States has now more than 6.2 million cases with Texas, California and Florida reporting the top three cases yesterday.

Brazil remained in second with close to 4 million cases, with more than 40,000 newly confirmed cases yesterday. Unfortunately, Brazil was back on top with the most deaths for the day with 1,166 fatalities reported.

India remained in third spot globally but continues to have the highest number of new confirmed daily cases in the world with more than 78,000 cases yesterday.

Russia officially is the fourth country to reach the million cases mark as it reported 4,792 cases to total 1,000,048.

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Top ten countries with new confirmed cases reported for September 1, 2020 are as follows:

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The Philippines incidentally landed in 11th place.

We cannot keep landing on the top ten contributors to the cases (and deaths) every now and then. Compared to many countries, while our cases may not be in the tens of thousands, it is disconcerting that we find ourselves among the top ten countries contributing to the pool of coronavirus cases in 13 of the last 15 days.

With countries like the US and Brazil now seeing a decline in cases, the only reason why we’re even up there in the top ten is because the other countries are doing better than us.

The top ten countries with highest deaths reported for August 31, 2020 were as follows:

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It has been 8 months since the first reported case of coronavirus in the Philippines. On January 31, 2020, patient one, from a Chinese tourist was recorded. In February, we had two additional cases, reported on February 2 and 7, separately. The first patient died on February 2, 2020. The other two cases in February recovered.

On March 6, 2020 the Health Agency reported the next two new cases.

That was the fortuitous day we never looked back to better days.

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Above grid shows the total number of cases and deaths per month in the Philippines as of September 1, 2020.

To date, the new cases every month exceeded the total of the previous month.

The number of deaths are not something to be proud of either. All the deaths in August will be reported in September (or even October).

With all the validation and cleaning up being made by the Health Agency, the above table summarizes our monthly total (as of September 1, 2020). We ended August with 128,355 cases for that month alone. If you add up the total number of cases for the months of March to July, we still had more cases in August than all the cases from March to July put together.

That’s how bad it got.

Let’s all work at bringing down the numbers so that we end the third quarter on a better note.

We cannot keep going back to square one.