Growth of Covid cases shows a slowing down in PH, positivity rate declining 2
Passengers observe physical distancing as they arrive at the Philippine National Railway (PNR) -Tutuban Station in Manila on April 12, 2021. Photo by Jonathan Cellona, ABS-CBN News
Culture

Growth of Covid cases shows a slowing down in PH, positivity rate declining

But there’s also bad news 
BENJAMIN CO, MD | Apr 12 2021

There is good news and there is bad. Let’s start with the good. 

With a reproduction rate of 1.2, it means the growth of cases in the Philippines has slowed down significantly. Slowing down, however, does not mean a decline in cases. It means that instead of multiplying to more than twice the number in the previous week, there will still be minor increases and seems to head to the direction of plateauing. The positivity rate has also declined from a week high of 25 percent to 19.5 percent today.

The bad news is that while the case fatality rate in the country is 1.73 percent, it is much higher in the National Capital Region at 2.1 percent. This finding is not unexpected. Note that the NCR + bubble—currently riddled with an overload of patients in critical condition—is a reflection of what happens when the healthcare facilities are overwhelmed. Medical care is compromised, better healthcare access is limited, patient care is delayed. 

The DOH reports 11,378 new cases and 204 new deaths. Healthcare facilities continue to be burdened with the rising cases. The active cases have continued to rise and is now almost 160,000. The total number of deaths has passed the 15,000 mark.

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Based on Sunday’s DOH data, the following top 5 regions account for close to 80 percent of the total cases in the Philippines: NCR, CALABARZON, Central Luzon, Central Visayas and Western Visayas. 

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Today’s data drop shows that NCR, CALABARZON, and Central Luzon continue to bring the haul for the day with 76 percent of the total cases. Cagayan Valley, Western Visayas, CAR, Ilocos Region, Central Visayas and Bicol Region report triple digits each. There are 67 cases with no known location on a regional level. 

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In NCR, 15 of the 17 LGUs report triple digits with Quezon City reporting 940 new cases. Manila and Pasig reports more than 600 but less than 700 cases each. Thirteen of the 17 LGUs in Mega Manila are among the top 20 cities with most cases, with slots 1-12 all from NCR.

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At a provincial level, Cavite, Bulacan, Rizal and Laguna report more than 500 cases each. 

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Growth of Covid cases shows a slowing down in PH, positivity rate declining 8