The DOH reports 8,773 new cases and 56 new deaths today. With a new high in both new cases and positivity rate of 16.1 percent, we are projected to head towards the 9,000-10,000 level this weekend. The large haul brings the total active cases in the Philippines a few cases short of 100,000 (14.4 percent).
Apart from the startling high numbers is the hospital occupancy rate in the National Capital Region where ICU bed occupancy is now beyond critical levels, rising an additional 3 percent from yesterday’s 71 percent. The isolation beds are also up at 62 percent (from 59 percent yesterday).
The NCR reports close to 5000 cases today, which is 56 percent of the total néw cases in the country. CALABARZON owns 16.7 percent and Central Luzon 9.3 percent. These three regions account for 82 percent of the day’s cases or 7,181 new cases. Other regions with triple digits are: Cagayan Valley, Central Visayas, Western Visayas and CAR. There are 68 cases with no known location on a regional level.
In the NCR, Quezon City continues to have the most number of cases with 856 new cases (17.5 percent). Manila is in second with 818, Caloocan with 460, and Pasig with 354. The cities of Pasay, Makati, Parañaque, Malabon, Mandaluyong and Taguig has more than 200 each but less than 300 cases. The cities of Marikina, Valenzuela, San Juan, Muntinlupa and Las Piñas has more than 100 each but less than 200 cases. Navotas and Pateros, which usually see single digits, has 65 and 76 cases, respectively.
Fifteen of 17 LGUs in the NCR are in the top 20 cities with most cases.
On a provincial level, Cavite has overtaken Bulacan for the top spot. Nine of the top 10 provinces posts triple digits each. Today, only 3 of the 81 provinces in the country report zero cases: Marinduque, Dinagat Islands, and Davao Occidental. Batanes had one new Covid19 case.
Update from the OCTA Research Monitoring for March 25, 2021 shows a slight decline in Rt for the NCR at 1.91. But this is not a cause for celebration, and it is unknown if this can be attributable to the recent stricter regulations of the IATF on mobility outside of the so-called “NCR plus bubble”. Note that the positivity rate in NCR was 18 percent (higher than the national average of 15 percent) over the past week.
Philippine COVID-19 Update, OCTA Research Monitoring, March 25, 2021
In the same report, the following are the top barangays in the country with the most number of COVID-19 cases covering the period March 18-24. Only four barangays are located in Rizal. The rest in the top 50 are from NCR with Fort Bonifacio in the lead. Note here that several of the barangays are from middle to higher income class areas.
The current most common sources of infection based on history of exposure are: travel outside of the NCR, dining in restaurants, festivities (weddings, baptisms, birthdays, parties and celebrations of more than 10 people), visitors outside of the family bubble and gyms.