The data that come in on Tuesdays (and Wednesdays) are usually the lowest numbers for the week. Hence, it’s expected that the DOH announced fewer cases today compared to previous days. I will caution everyone to be careful in interpreting data on Tuesdays because they usually represent tests done 2 to 3 days before (most likely Sunday) when some testing facilities may not be operational OR when people do not usually see a doctor to get checked.
With a national positivity rate of more than 15 percent today, this implies that for every 10,000 individuals tested, 1,500 will likely test positive. But certain areas have higher positivity rates. The NCR for example has a positivity rate of 20 percent. If the NCR runs 25,000 tests daily, then that would mean 5,000 new cases in this region alone.
The DOH announced 5,867 new cases today. Note the encircled numbers. The number of active cases is up at 86,200 (12.7 percent) and the percent positivity for COVID testing is now 15.4 percent. There were 620 recoveries and 20 deaths reported by the DOH, a far cry from the new cases. Recoveries are just 10 percent of the total cases. As more cases than recoveries are posted this week, it is possible that we will see a worrisome 100,000 active cases before the end of the week.
Today’s granular data shows NCR contributing a glaring 61 percent (3,579 new cases) of the total cases in the country. CALABARZON accounted for 18 percent of the haul for the day. Other regions with triple digit reports were: Central Luzon, Central Visayas, and Cagayan Valley. Notice that the “unidentified” are back with 51 new cases from no known region.
In the NCR, Quezon City continues to own the most number of cases— 731 (20.4 percent) of the total cases in Mega Manila. Manila ha/ 489. Caloocan 336, Pasay City 294, Taguig 271, Parañaque 252, and Makati 213. Malabon, Pasig, Mandaluyong, and Las Piñas has more than 100 cases each. There are 11 cases with unknown LGUs.
Sixteen of 17 LGUs in the NCR are among the top 20 cities with most cases today. The remaining four cities are: 3 from Cavite and 1 from Rizal. The whole NCR+ bubble (as the government now calls it) has become the epicenter of the nation.
The provinces of Cavite, Bulacan and Rizal has more than 300 cases each. Batangas, Cebu and Laguna has more than 150 cases each.