[All local data are information downloaded from the Data Drop of the Department of Health. The author does not own any of the information except the analysis of all data. Global data are referenced properly from Worldometers.info, Ourworldindata.org (European CDC), World Health Organization (who.int), and the New York Times. Where appropriate, additional information may be culled from other references or health agencies.]
UPDATED MARCH 13, 2021
Summary for the day
- The last time the Philippines broke the 5,000 mark was on August 26, 2020. Less than 7 months later, the DOH reports 5,000 new cases Saturday, taking our total cases to 616,611.
- The total number of active cases is up at 9.2 percent with 56,679 active cases. The daily positivity rate is up at 12.8 percent and will likely follow this trajectory as the surge continues and more testing and contact tracing will be required.
- With 72 new deaths, the case fatality rate is slightly down at 2.07 percent because of the enormous surge of cases.
- The NCR Rt is up at 1.9 and continues to climb with the increasing numbers.
- The Department of Health website’s COVID-19 tracker shows the screen capture for this morning. As to how they arrived at the 5000 new cases is anyone’s guess. But the daily reports can be estimated from the 2 day lag in reporting from their website.
- Note the trajectory in the daily positivity rate and the cumulative positivity rate that has begun an incline. The last time we saw this positivity rate was the first surge. This surge is steeper and faster. The first surge did not have the variants from the UK (B.188.8.131.52), South Africa (B.1.135) and Brazil (P.1). The eclectic mixture of the presence of all three variants of concern based on report from the DOH is highly concerning as the country has yet to begin immunizing its general population.
- NCR continues to lead with 2,368 new cases (47.4 percent). With triple digits are the regions of CALABARZON, Central Visayas, Central Luzon, CAR, Cagayan Valley, Davao Region, and Western Visayas. These 8 regions made up 94 percent of the total cases for the country.
- In the NCR, all LGUS noted increase in cases with Quezon City leading the haul with 433 (18.3 percent).
- Fourteen of the 17 LGUs in the NCR landed in the top 20 cities/municipalities with most cases.
- Eleven of the 17 LGUs had more than 100 cases. They were: Manila, Pasay, Makati, Pasig, Parañaque, Caloocan, Navotas, Malabon, Mandaluyong and Valenzuela. Six cases from unknown LGUs were reported.
- While the province of Cebu continued to lead on a provincial level, growth has slowed down significantly with less than 40 percent of the cases coming from Cebu City. Note that 7 of the top ten provinces recorded more than 100 new cases. Aside from Cebu, they were: Cavite, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Benguet and Isabela.
The World (March 12, 2021)
- A total of 488,553 new cases were reported globally bringing the number of cases to more than 119.6 million.
- A total of 9,449 new deaths was reported yesterday keeping the global case fatality rate unchanged at 2.22 percent.
- Brazil continues to lead with the most number of new cases and new deaths in the world and moves up to second rank, displacing India in spite of the fact that India is now also seeing a rise in number of new cases.