MANILA (UPDATED as of 4:45 p.m.) - President Aquino's team in the senatorial race is headed for a majority victory in the 2013 mid-term elections, based on partial and unofficial results from the Commission on Elections' (Comelec) transparency server.
As of 4:45 p.m. Wednesday, with around 28.5 million votes and 69% of electoral results processed, 9 from Team PNoy and 3 from the United Nationalist Alliance (UNA) are in the top 12, namely:
1POE, GRACE 14,707,138
2 LEGARDA, LOREN (NPC)13,461,776
3CAYETANO, ALAN PETER(NP)12,726,683
4 ESCUDERO, CHIZ12,717,728
5 BINAY, NANCY (UNA)12,004,360
6 ANGARA, EDGARDO (LDP)11,566,190
7 AQUINO, BENIGNO BAM (LP)11,153,205
8PIMENTEL, KOKO (PDP)10,664,627
9TRILLANES, ANTONIO IV (NP)10,244,576
10VILLAR, CYNTHIA HANEPBUHAY (NP) 9,982,350
11EJERCITO ESTRADA, JV (UNA)9,903,257
12HONASAN, GRINGO (UNA)9,555,549
13GORDON, DICK (UNA)9,117,759
14ZUBIRI, MIGZ (UNA)8,551,195
15ENRILE, JUAN PONCE JR.(NPC)8,264,974
16MAGSAYSAY, RAMON JR. (LP)8,242,867
17HONTIVEROS, RISA (AKBAYAN)8,001,860
19VILLANUEVA, BRO.EDDIE (BP)5,033,651
20MADRIGAL, JAMBY (LP)4,876,932
21MAGSAYSAY, MITOS (UNA)4,044,409
22CASIÑO, TEDDY (MKB)3,142,360
23MACEDA, MANONG ERNIE (UNA)2,469,954
24COJUANGCO, TINGTING (UNA)2,166,037
25DELOS REYES, JC (KPTRAN)891,046
26ALCANTARA, SAMSON (SJS)869,815
27BELGICA, GRECO (DPP)811,220
29DAVID, LITO (KPTRAN)742,833
30MONTAÑO, MON 706,336
31LLASOS, MARWIL (KPTRAN)509,573
32SEÑERES, CHRISTIAN (DPP)506,045
33FALCONE, BAL (DPP)468,512
Pollster Social Weather Stations (SWS), based on its last pre-election survey held May 2-3 or just over a week ago, said that, "Given the statistical ties, the most probable final Team PNoy-UNA score is 9-3, with twelfth place going to either Honasan or Enrile who are both from UNA."
In the May 10-11 Pulse Asia pre-election survey, it was 9 Team PNoy and 3 UNA or 10 Team PNoy and 2 UNA, with Honasan, Enrile and Jun Magsaysay of the LP fighting for the 12th and last slot.
The SWS survey of 2,400 respondents and the Pulse Asia survey of 1,800 respondents both have a margin of error of plus/minus 2%.
A total of 18,054 positions were at stake in the mid-term elections, seen as a referendum of President Aquino's performance after 3 years in office.
A total of 44,448 candidates ran for national and local posts, which include 234 seats in the House of Representatives, 80 governors and vice-governors, 1,634 mayors and vice-mayors, plus 26 posts in the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM).
More than 100 party-list groups ran to fill 58 seats in the lower House.
A strong majority victory for President Aquino in the Senate race would allow him to take control of the Senate, which is currently led by Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile, one of the stalwarts of UNA.
Based on recent opinion polls, Aquino still enjoys "very good" net satisfaction ratings due largely to his "daang matuwid" or good governance program.
His Liberal Party, however, does not have a strong candidate for the 2016 presidential elections who can continue Aquino's programs, unlike the UNA which has Vice-President Jejomar Binay who is well-positioned and enjoys strong support from the masses.
Aquino is barred by the Constitution from seeking re-election.
Although the Philippine economy is also doing well with 6.6% GDP growth in 2012, poverty incidence in the country has been "unchanged" since 2006 with 28% of the population still below the poverty line as of 2012.
Not enough jobs are also being created with the unemployment rate at 7%--around 2.9 million unemployed--and underemployment rate at 20% or around 7.9 million as of January 2013.