Binay, Roxas may benefit from SC decision on Poe case

ABS-CBN News

MANILA - The numbers of presidential candidates Vice-President Jejomar Binay and former Interior Secretary Mar Roxas may rise in surveys if the Supreme Court decides against Senator Grace Poe in her disqualification case, according to a pollster.

Pulse Asia Research Inc. president Prof. Roland Holmes told radio dzMM on Monday that voters may pick other candidates if Poe is disqualified.

"'Yung tinatawag naming second choice, at lumalabas doon na medyo mas malaking bahagdan ng mga bumoboto kay Senator Poe ang iboboto si VP Binay. Kung hindi ako nagkakamali, sa mga nakaraang survey, halos apat sa sampu na bumoto kay Senator Poe ang nagsasabing ang kanilang pipiliin kung hindi na magtutuloy ay si Vice President Binay at ang sumunod doon ay si Secretary Roxas, parang tatlo sa sampu," Holmes said.

He added that voters' preferences may or may not change if Poe endorses another candidate.

"Hindi rin natin alam kung mayroon siyang i-eendorso. Hindi naman transferable automatically, kunyari sabihin mo na ang bumoto sa akin, iboto niyo na si B. Kasi nga ang pagboto ng mga botante ay nababatay na rin sa kanilang pagkakakilala sa mga kandidato, at hindi na nangangahulugan na kayong dalawa, magkalapit sila, ay ililipat nila 'yung boto doon sa itinalaga ng isang kandidato," he explained.

Holmes also believes that Poe's current survey ratings will remain the same if the court decides to rule in her favor.

"Sa aking pananaw, batay na rin sa datos ng survey, 'yung voting preference ngayon ay batay sa paniniwala ng mga tao na hindi pa disqualified si Senator Poe. Ganyan na ang suporta sa mga nagtutunggali ngayon sa pagka-presidente," Holmes added.

The latest Pulse Asia pre-election survey showed Poe and Binay leading the presidential race, with Roxas and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte also statistically tied with the vice-president and former Makati mayor.

The survey, conducted last February 15-20 with 1,800 registered voters, showed Poe getting 26 percent of the vote while Binay got 25 percent.

The survey was conducted before the first PiliPinas presidential debate in Cagayan de Oro City last February 21.

The latest survey also showed Poe losing four percentage points from her lead in the January survey, dropping from 30% to 26% voter support. She lost 10 percentage points among Metro Manila voters (33% to 23%), six percentage points in Balance Luzon (39% to 33%), two percentage points in Visayas (26% to 24%), and one percentage point in Mindanao (from 16% to 15%).

[RELATED: Poe, Binay share lead in tight pres'l race: Pulse]

The Supreme Court is expected to issue its decision on Poe's disqualification case anytime this week.