Why Duterte is now ahead in presidential race

Kathlyn dela Cruz, ABS-CBN News

Posted at Apr 13 2016 12:23 AM

Gains in class ABC, NCR, Mindanao boost Davao City mayor's chances

MANILA - Presidential aspirant Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte has a big lead in the well-off class ABC, according to the latest ABS-CBN survey conducted by Pulse Asia.

The survey, conducted from March 29 to April 3, showed Duterte, currently the frontrunner in the race, as the top choice for president of voters in the socio-economic class ABC, with 41%.

The candidate from Mindanao has a big 23-point lead over Vice President Jejomar Binay who got 18% voter support from class ABC.

Senator Grace Poe and Mar Roxas both got 17% from class ABC, while Senator Miriam Defensor Santiago only had 3%.

Speaking to radio dzMM Tuesday, Pulse Asia president Ronald Holmes noted that among the primary concerns of those who belong to the class ABC are corruption as well as peace and order.

"Yan yung class na ang kanilang mga usapin ay patungkol sa corruption at kaayusan. Yung kaayusan kasi, yung peace and order, ay mas pronounced yan as an urgent issue among the class ABC, relative to, let's say, the less affluent class D which is the largest group, and class E," Holmes explained.

Duterte has repeatedly vowed that he will solve criminality in the country in only three to six months. He has also promised to clamp down on corruption.

READ: Duterte fires back: Binay 'berdugo' of public funds, Roxas 'bakla'

Aside from gaining high support from class ABC voters, Duterte has also received increased support from voters in the National Capital Region (NCR) and Luzon. This is on top of his already high 55% support among voters in Mindanao.

These contributed to the improvement of his overall numbers, leading him to the top spot of the presidential race, with 30%.

Behind him is erstwhile frontrunner Poe (25%), followed by Binay (20%), Roxas (19%), and Santiago (2%).

According to Holmes, the Davao City mayor's television advertisements, along with frequent stories about him in news headlines, may have contributed to the increase in his survey ratings.

"Malaki ang tulong ng ads, kahit sino pa mang kandidato, lalong-lalo na sa ads kasi ay lalo mong nabibigay, napaparating ang mensahe mo, napapakilala ang sarili mo, nasasabi kung anumang nagawa mo at ano ang pinapangako mong gawin," Holmes said.


Meanwhile, like Duterte, vice-presidential candidate Senator Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. is also leading in the socio-economic class ABC (39%) and Metro Manila (47%).

"Yun ang dahilan kung bakit siya ang nangunguna ngayon sa vice presidential race," said Holmes.

Erstwhile frontrunner Senator Francis "Chiz" Escudero has come in third with 21% voter support, against Marcos' 28% and Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo's 22%.

Escudero was followed by Senator Alan Peter Cayetano (15%), Senator Antonio Trillanes IV (5%), and Senator Gregorio "Gringo" Honasan II (4%).

Holmes noted that the level of support for Marcos, who is facing criticisms over the alleged atrocities and human right abuses committed during the reign of his father, is not actually high among young voters but among those who lived during the late dictator Ferdinand Marcos' regime.

"So hindi sa hindi alam ng mga tao kung anong naganap noon, kundi maraming mga bagay na maaaring nakakaimpluwensiya sa kanilang disposisyon ngayon," he said.

"Hindi yung mga bata ang nagbibigay ng suporta. Marginally, or even significantly, Senator Marcos gets support from people who actually were conscious nung panahon ng tatay niya," he added.

READ: Bongbong heckled at VP debate 

Holmes nonetheless said many things can still happen in the coming days until the May 9 elections, which may affect the candidates' standing in surveys.

"Marami pang kaganapan na maaaring mangyari, marami pang stratehiyang ipapatupad ang mga kandidato, at meron pang isang debate na pangungunahan ng inyong network. Hindi natin alam kung ano ang mahiging pahayag nila na maaaring makaimpluwensya sa mga botante na iboto sila o hindi sila iboto," Holmes said.